MSCI312-06S2 (U) Semester Two 2006 (University Campus)

Forecasting and Decision Analysis

14 points

Details:
Start Date: Monday, 10 July 2006
End Date: Sunday, 12 November 2006
Withdrawal Dates
Last Day to withdraw from this course:
  • Without financial penalty (full fee refund): Sunday, 23 July 2006
  • Without academic penalty (including no fee refund): Sunday, 8 October 2006

Description

Principles of decomposition for forecasting; forecasting using exponential smoothing, ARIMA, neural network, and business forecasting. Introduction to Bayesian decision analysis and multi-criteria decision analysis.

Learning Outcomes

To cover these topics from an MS/OR practitioner's viewpoint. To ensure that you are aware of, and can apply, the range of forecasting and decision analysis techniques available.

Prerequisites

(1) MSCI210 or 22 points of 200 level courses in STAT; (2) MATH104 or MATH 105 or MATH106 or MATH107 or MATH108 or MATH109 or MATH116 or MATH127 or MATH171; (At the discretion of the HOD (2) may be replaced by good performance in (1)).

Restrictions

MSCI202

Course Coordinator

Don McNickle

Lecturer

John Raffensperger

Assessment

Assessment Due Date Percentage 
Final Examination 50%
Forecasting Assignment 07 Sep 2006 25%
Decision Analysis Document 14 Sep 2006 8%
Decision Analysis Document 28 Sep 2006 8%
Decision Analysis Document 12 Oct 2006 9%

Notes

Grading:
We standardise your marks to a common mean and standard deviation in order to calculte your final grade.

Departmental Academic Policies and Guidelines:
A summary of Departmental academic policies on course grading, aegrotat considerations, etc. is available under:
http://www.mang.canterbury.ac.nz/Courses/index_courses.htm
If you want a hard copy of this document, please ask the course co-ordinator. The Department assumes that you have read this document.

Dishonest Practice:
The University of Canterbury considers cheating and plagiarism to be serious acts of dishonesty. All assessed work must be your own individual work unless specifically stated otherwise in the assessment guidelines. Material quoted from any other source must be clearly acknowledged. You must not copy the work of another person (student or published work) in any assessment including examinations, tests and assignments.  Any person who is found to have copied someone else's work, or to have allowed their work to be copied, will receive a fail grade for that piece of assessment and may face disciplinary action which may lead to a fine, community service or exclusion from the University.

Indicative Fees

Domestic fee $463.00

International fee $1,891.00

* All fees are inclusive of NZ GST or any equivalent overseas tax, and do not include any programme level discount or additional course-related expenses.

For further information see Management, Marketing and Tourism .

All MSCI312 Occurrences

  • MSCI312-06S2 (U) Semester Two 2006 (University Campus)
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